VHSL Region 4C Football Rankings

Standings 9 teams

Team District Record Ovr Power Points
1
Woodgrove
Class 4 · Catoctin

3-0

8-1

29.78
2
Loudoun Valley
Class 4 · Dulles

4-0

9-0

29.33
3
Loudoun County
Class 4 · Catoctin

2-1

6-3

25.11
4
Heritage (Leesburg)
Class 4 · Dulles

3-1

6-3

23.89
5
Broad Run
Class 4 · Catoctin

1-2

3-6

21.44
6
Tuscarora
Class 4 · Dulles

2-2

3-6

19.67
Top 6 make the playoffs
7
Park View
Class 4 · Catoctin

0-3

2-7

17.67
8
Dominion
Class 4 · Dulles

1-3

1-8

16.22
9
Rock Ridge
Class 4 · Dulles

0-4

0-10

15.50

How seeding works: Top 6 teams make the playoffs, based on district record. Seeds 1-4 are the district champions and runners-up (overall #1 seed goes to the champion with the higher Power Points). Seeds 5 and 6 are the two best Power Points teams left in the region. Seeds 1 and 2 earn a first-round bye. Win bonuses exclude games against private and boarding schools. Ties broken by standard VHSL tiebreakers.

Week 11 Games 4 games

Games we predict to be close are marked. See every close game on Any Given Friday.

Fri 11/6 · 7:00 PM Final

Loudoun Valley 9-0 · #2 4C -

at Woodgrove 8-1 · #1 4C -
Fri 11/6 · 7:00 PM Final

Loudoun County 6-3 · #3 4C -

at Heritage (Leesburg) 6-3 · #4 4C -
PREDICTED CLOSE GAME Fri 11/6 · 7:00 PM Final

Tuscarora 3-6 · #6 4C -

at Broad Run 3-6 · #5 4C -
PREDICTED CLOSE GAME Fri 11/6 · 7:00 PM Final

Dominion 1-8 · #8 4C -

at Park View 2-7 · #7 4C -

Playoff Odds

This is based on our unofficial prediction model (it’s pretty good, but far from perfect). Results come from simulating the rest of the season 2,000 different times. Each number is a team’s chance, in percent: “In” is making the playoffs, and 1 to 6 are each seed. VHSL sets the final bracket after the last regular-season game.

Projected Playoff Seeds

Team	In	1	2	3	4	5	6
Woodgrove	99	81	18	–	–	–	–
Loudoun Valley	99	18	81	–	–	–	–
Loudoun County	99	–	–	81	18	–	–
Heritage (Leesburg)	99	–	–	18	81	–	–
Broad Run	99	–	–	–	–	95	4
Tuscarora	99	–	–	–	–	4	95
Dominion	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
Park View	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
Rock Ridge	–	–	–	–	–	–	–

Projected Bracket

Quarterfinal Fri 11/13

Semifinal Fri 11/20

1Woodgrove

2Loudoun Valley

Final Fri 11/27

Games to Watch

These games have the biggest impact on the projected seeds.

Fri 11/6Loudoun Valley at Woodgrove

Loudoun County 6-3 · #3 4C	-
at Heritage (Leesburg) 6-3 · #4 4C	-